Resolution delay, Polymarket vs Kalshi
TradingPolymarket — All
Trails54.7 min
- p99
- 238.6 min
- rank
- #5
- samples
- 915,471
Polymarket — Crypto
Leads10.4 min
- p99
- 132.8 min
- rank
- #2
- samples
- 41,863
Polymarket delay is measured from the first onchain outcome proposal to resolution (UMA challenge window, minimum 2h by protocol). Kalshi delay is settlement_ts - close_time (exact from API), where close_time is the scheduled market close, not the real-world event end. Kalshi auto-generated parlay markets (Exotics) are excluded. Both anchors are lower bounds on total user wait from the real-world event ending.