Prediction markets

Prediction markets, measured neutrally.

Every venue ranks itself on the metric it picks. OCB picks the metrics, then ranks every venue on the same axis: resolution honesty, API latency, data freshness. Polymarket vs Kalshi plus Limitless and Myriad on one cross-venue leaderboard: volume, open interest, resolution delay and API latency.

Total volume 30d

$505.67M

Active markets

57.9K

Cohort median resolution

55.5m

Cohort p50 API latency

256ms

Tracked venues

9

9 of 9 venues

#VenueVolume 30dvOpen Interest::Active Markets::Median resolution::p50 API latency::Markets >$1M::
1Polymarket logoPolymarketOn chain$422.94M$333.20M2.1K55.5m250ms385
2Kalshi logoKalshiOff chain$75.93M$74.21M49.3K...324ms2
3Myriad logoMyriadOn chain$5.96M$46.8K42...494ms18
4Manifold logoManifoldOff chain$842.3K$3.1K945...13ms0
5Polymarket US logoPolymarket USOff chain......5.0K.........
6Limitless logoLimitlessOn chain...$414.1K439...256ms0
7PredictIt logoPredictItOff chain..................
8Smarkets logoSmarketsOff chain..................
9MEMetaculusOff chain..................

Measured answers

Source: pm-cohort-stats harness (volume, OI, active markets, top market, markets >$1M) plus the live PM bench fleet (api latency, resolution delay, ws latency). All gauges scraped from the public OCB Prom, refresh interval 60s. Click a venue row above to open its dedicated product page. Hover the dotted underline on any value to see how it is computed.

Methodology

Venue rows aggregate the public APIs of each platform, normalized to USD and UTC days. Resolution delay comes from the pm-resolution-delay bench (anchor: ProposePrice for UMA backed markets). API latency is the 24h p50 of warm, non cached price requests from us-east, eu-west and Singapore. Freshness compares third party relays against the Polymarket CLOB T0 stream.

Data and methodology released under CC BY 4.0. Reuse with attribution to OpenChainBench.