Resolution delay, Polymarket vs Kalshi
TradingPolymarket — Other
Trails151.1 min
- p99
- 403.6 min
- rank
- #6
- samples
- 163,470
Polymarket — Sports
Leads54.9 min
- p99
- 238.0 min
- rank
- #4
- samples
- 484,034
Polymarket delay is measured from the first onchain outcome proposal to resolution (UMA challenge window, minimum 2h by protocol). Kalshi delay is settlement_ts - close_time (exact from API), where close_time is the scheduled market close, not the real-world event end. Kalshi auto-generated parlay markets (Exotics) are excluded. Both anchors are lower bounds on total user wait from the real-world event ending.