Kalshi vs Manifold

Kalshi leads on both live benchmarks. Kalshi wins on Prediction market API rate limits, tested with a daily ramp (323 ms vs 1.25 s), Best prediction market API, ranked by live latency and uptime (325 ms vs 1.25 s).

Read methodology Last measured Window: rolling 24h2 shared benchmarks
Kalshi logo
Kalshi

CFTC-regulated US prediction market exchange. REST trade API (trade-api/v2) with documented per-tier rate limits; the market data WebSocket requires authentication.

Manifold logo
Manifold

Play-money prediction market with AMM-based binary and multiple-choice markets. Documented public API at 500 requests per minute per IP, bots explicitly welcome.

Side by side measurements

Prediction market API rate limits, tested with a daily ramp

Trading
ProviderWarm book latencyRamp added latencyCold connect
Kalshi323 ms56 ms326 ms
Manifold1.25 s48 ms84 ms

Ramp tiers stay well inside documented budgets where they exist, at most 7 percent of Polymarket's published book allowance, and every run aborts at the first sign of sustained errors. This benchmark measures throttle onset behaviour at polite request rates, not maximum venue throughput.

Rolling 24h · Warm book latencyRaw JSON

Best prediction market API, ranked by live latency and uptime

Trading
ProviderAPI latency (price endpoint)Uptime 24hUptime 7dCold connect
Kalshi325 ms100.0%99.9%326 ms
Manifold1.25 s100.0%99.5%84 ms

Uptime here means our probes succeeded from three specific regions at a polite request rate. A venue can be up for us and degraded for you, especially during regional network incidents, and a brief blip between probe cycles can go unrecorded. Treat the panel as a measured signal, not a guarantee.

Rolling 24h · API latency (price endpoint)Raw JSON

Frequently asked questions

Kalshi vs Manifold: which one is better?

Kalshi and Manifold are compared on 2 shared OpenChainBench benchmarks. Kalshi leads on Prediction market API rate limits, tested with a daily ramp. See the live table on this page for every metric.

Which is faster, Kalshi or Manifold?

On the Prediction market API rate limits, tested with a daily ramp benchmark, Kalshi leads at 323 ms versus Manifold at 1.25 s. Live measurement is updated continuously by the OpenChainBench harness.

How is the Kalshi vs Manifold comparison measured?

Every benchmark on this page uses the same open methodology, published at https://openchainbench.com/methodology. Data is CC-BY-4.0. Measurement harnesses are MIT-licensed.

How this pair was selected

Auto-generated pairs require: both providers in the same benchmark for seven consecutive days, at least 1000 samples per provider, observable third-party search demand, and a public /products/[slug] page on OCB. Editorially curated pairs (like this one) may publish early when search demand is high and data is accruing — panels with fewer than 100 samples are shown as provisional. The full pair ledger is versioned in the public repo.

Live data refreshes via ISR within 60 seconds of a new run. Sources are the same Prometheus queries surfaced on the parent benchmark pages.